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4 Stocks Poised to Move Big

I don’t make it a habit of analyzing short interest data. However, I always check the data when I initially scan a security because it can help when analyzing the charts.

Of course, if I want to design an entry/exit strategy, it becomes very important to know the short interest and the short interest ratio of the security in question.  
 
Over the past few days, I managed to run across four stocks that stuck out like a sore thumb due to their high short interest ratio, all of which appear (on the surface) to be fundamentally sound.
 
If a company is sound, why would investors take short positions?
 
Investors take short positions for a variety of reasons.
Sometimes you can determine why the stock has a large short position.
Other times, there are no clear reasons because it will depend on the investment strategy of the funds that have taken short positions.
 
While there are numerous reasons investors take short positions, the four most common are:
 
(1)   To bet on an earnings disappoint, downward guidance or revision
(2)   Extreme overvaluation
(3)   To hedge other positions in the portfolio
(4)   As part of a long/short strategy (which can also include number 3)
 
When there is no obvious reason for a large short position, I have found that it is often due to extreme overvaluation or a large run up in shares. The higher a stock rises, the more optimism has been priced into the stock. And if it disappoints, shares could tumble.
 
Of course there are many other reasons why short interest can be high.
 
When analyzing short positions, you should also look for the duration of the short interest as well as the trend of decreasing or increasing short shares. In other words, you want to know how many shares have been short over the past 6 or 12 months.
 
On the other hand, regardless of the situation, it is rare for the short interest to be high if the company is a megacap, like Microsoft (although large caps on occasion can have a large short interest ratio)*
 
 
*A specific case that comes to mind was that of Tyco. This was previously a company hailed by virtually every fund and money manager on Wall Street.
Many called fund managers were calling Tyco the next GE. However, in early 2002 at a price of $55, I made the call that it would collapse after studying the trailing 12-month short-interest data.
My determination was also based on suspicions of massive accounting fraud. Over the next seven months, shares collapsed to around $12. 
Below you can see where I have included the 1-for-4 reverse split in 2007 so you can understand the historical performance of shares.
 

 
 
 
 
When a stock has a large short interest ratio, it (often) means those who have taken a short position expect the stock to decline due to some event. Sometimes, investors simply pile onto the shorts due to a follower effect.
 
However, just because the short interest ratio is high does not mean the stock will fall hard. If something unexpected happens that causes the stock to rise, the shorts will rush to cover their position (or close the short). This will create an accelerated buying spree that will often cause they stock to soar. This is of course known as a short squeeze because the shorts get squeezed out of their position.
 
Thus, some investors buy stocks than have large short interest ratios, hoping for a short squeeze. Of course, sophisticated investors don’t blinding go long hoping for a squeeze. They most often have other information that leads them to believe that the shorts have misinterpreted or exaggerated their analysis.
 
A short squeeze is more frequent with small or micro cap stocks, especially when the float is small.
 
There are many things that can cause a stock to rise. First, the shorts might be wrong. Instead of a big earnings miss, the company might report a huge upside. But even a rising stock market can cause they stock to rise. However, when funds short a stock they usually adjust for potential market movements so as to offset this possibility. This can be accomplished in many ways. I don’t want to stray off of the topic so I won’t go into that.
 
In this article I am going to briefly discuss these stocks.
 
I will follow up with an analysis of each, identifying the best candidate for a short in the June issue of the AVA Investment Analytics newsletter.
 
The four stocks with large short interest ratios are Netflix (NFLX) at 27.5%, Synaptics (SYNA) at 44%, Coinstar (CSTR) 24.9%, and Constant Contact (CTCT) at 30.1%.
 
One could argue that each firm is strongly positioned within their respective industries. In fact, you could even argue that each is an industry leader. This is one reason why I found it noteworthy that each had a large short interest. 
 
So what I plan to do is give you a brief commentary on each one and let you decide whether you want to play the short or the squeeze, or maybe just do nothing at all and watch what happens.  
 
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is in the driver’s seat of the video rental industry. Great management, a formidable strategy, superior cash management and brilliant execution took this once small business and made it into a multibillion powerhouse in less than 15 years.
 
You might want to read a recent article I wrote which discussed predictions I made a few years ago regarding NFLX and Blockbuster. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Synaptics, Inc. (SYNA) is the world leader of interface solutions for digital devices. Chances are high that your laptop computer uses Synaptics touch pad. Synaptics also provides touch pads for smart phones, MP3s, video and many other devices.
 
If you happen to follow this stock, you might recall shares collapsed overnight a few years ago after Apple announced it would not be using Synaptics any longer. Historically, SYNA has had an off and on relationship with Apple.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
I will finish this analysis in the June 2010 issue of the AVA Investment Analytics newsletter, along with many other topics.
For a partial sample of past newsletters see here.
  
 
 
 

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Moreover, unlike most financial professisonals who spend much of their time and effort in the media, Mike's insights and recommendations do not serve as marketing pitches to generate investment clients from the retail public. In addition, his website and other media used by his firm has never sold advertisements or endorsed any products. 

It is critical to understand and always remember that no legitimate source that provides credible content sells advertisements or provides endorsements. These are the kinds of shady activities that charlatans and influencers are involved with. If you do not fully understand why this is the case, we invite you to examine the more than 500 articles, videos and audios explaining why, providing specific examples. 

Finally, MIke is neither a perma-bear nor perma-bull.  Yet, he has successfully guided his clients out of major stock market collapses, including the 2008 financial crisis towards the top, while making sure to get them back in at the bottom to enjoy the longest bull market in history. As such he is the only expert in the world we know of who has accurately predicted the ups and downs in the stock market over the past twenty years (the time he has served as a research analyst and investment strategist) and whose insights are pure and detached from vested interests. 
His research is untainted and cutting-edge. If you have been fortunate enough to have been the beneficiary of his research you are likely to agree that the results of his analysis and recommendations  have been short of remarkable.  

View Mike Stathis' Track Record herehereherehereherehere and here.

We have documented, time stamped publications backing the results in the following charts.

Most of the material shown in the following charts can be found in our track record links (see the links below).

We have documented, time stamped publications backing the results in the following charts.

Most of the material shown in the following charts can be found in our track record links (see the links below).

We have documented, time stamped publications backing the results in the following charts.

Most of the material shown in the following charts can be found in our track record links (see the links below).

We publish four (4) monthly research publications which provide the highest quality analysis (without any of the BS) found anywhere:

 

Stathis Shows Ackman, Soros And Bass Who The Boss Is

Mike Stathis Predicts Sears' Demise (along with Radio Shack and JC Penny) Years Ago While Exposing CNBC Idiots

INTELLIGENT INVESTOR (track record links)

Mike Stathis Warned About the 2022 Bear Market Before it Began

Can You Beat the S&P 500 Index? You Can If You Have Access to Our Research

Mike Stathis Predicted the Coronavirus Bear Market and Nailed the Bottom

Mike Shows You How to Make 100% in 2 Weeks and 200% in 6 months

Did You Own the Best Stock of 2016? Intelligent Investors Did

Mike Stathis is the Only Person to Have Nailed the First and Second Interest Rate Hikes

Mike Stathis Nails the Stock Market Breakout from November 2016 Months in Advance

Our Interest Rate Forecasts Have Yielded HUGE Gains 

Mike Stathis Was The Only Person To Have Nailed The First Rate Hike

Our Clients Avoided Being Exposed To The Market Collapse

Mike Stathis Predicted The August 2015 Stock Market Collapse

Guess Who Advised His Clients To Go To Cash BEFORE The Market Collapse?

The Media Has Banned The World's Leading Investment Forecaster

World's Best Market Forecaster Continues To Be Banned By The Media Crooks

Stathis Nails The Dec 2014 Market Selloff With Stunning Accuracy

Mike Stathis MUST Have A Crystal Ball. He Nailed The Market Correction AGAIN (excerpts only)

Excerpts Of The October 2014 Economic And Securities Supplement Audio 2

Who Do You Think Nailed the Latest Market Selloff AGAIN?

Stathis Nails the Market Correction in April 2014

Mike Stathis Nails The Stock Market Correction AGAIN, Top To Bottom

Where Is The Stock Market Headed? Let's Ask The World's Best Market Forecaster

Stathis Nails the Gold & Silver Trade Again

We Predicted The Market Selloff Yet Again

We Nailed The Gold Breakout

More Proof Wall Street Research Is Useless

ANOTHER Security From Our Recommended List Gets Bought Out

We Predicted The Market Correction AGAIN

Does AVA Investment Analytics Have Insider Information?

We Pin-Pointed the Past Two Market Tops And Bottoms

Does AVA Investment Analytics Have Insider Information?

4-Day Gains of 30% for 2011 and 2010 Performance

Another Huge Winner in a Few Weeks

Newsletter Stock Recommendation Soars More Than 25% in Just 3 Days

Can a Book Serve as a Crystal Ball?

Since The Market Lows, Only One Man Continues To Shine

Mike Stathis' Near-Perfect Market Forecasting Record

Another Security from the Intelligent Investor Soars

How to Short Stocks: Critical Lessons from the Intelligent Investor

The Case for Market Timing

Mike's Top 3 Stocks for Long-term Growth

Where Is The Stock Market Headed?

 

DIVIDEND GEMS (track record links)

Mike Stathis is the Only Person to Have Nailed the First and Second Interest Rate Hikes

Dividend Gems Subscribers Are Treated To Yet ANOTHER HUGE BUYOUT - Kraft

Dividend Gems Scores Another Huge Winner

Dividend Gems Scores ANOTHER Huge Payday

We Sold CenturyLink BEFORE It Collapsed

Warren Buffett Follows Our Lead On Heinz

Did You Own The BEST PERFORMING Stock In 2011? WE DID

Dividend Gems Destroys The S&P 500 Index AGAIN

Dividend Gems Holds Up As The Stock Market Collapses

Dividend Gems Continues To Smash The S&P 500 Index

Dividend Gems Outperforms Again

Dividend Gems Shines As The Market Corrects

The Impressive Performance Of Dividend Gems

 

MARKET FORECASTER (partial list; see this link for more)

Mike Stathis is the Only Person to Have Nailed the First and Second Interest Rate Hikes

Mike Stathis Nails the Stock Market Breakout from November 2016 Months in Advance

Our Interest Rate Forecasts Have Yielded HUGE Gains

Mike Stathis Was The Only Person To Have Nailed The First Rate Hike

Our Clients Avoided Being Exposed To The Market Collapse

Mike Stathis Predicted The August 2015 Stock Market Collapse

Guess Who Advised His Clients To Go To Cash BEFORE The Market Collapse?

The Media Has Banned The World's Leading Investment Forecaster

World's Best Market Forecaster Continues To Be Banned By The Media Crooks

Stathis Nails The Dec 2014 Market Selloff With Stunning Accuracy

Mike Stathis MUST Have A Crystal Ball. He Nailed The Market Correction AGAIN (excerpts only)

Who Do You Think Nailed the Latest Market Selloff AGAIN?

Stathis Nails the Market Correction in April 2014

Mike Stathis Nails The Stock Market Correction AGAIN, Top To Bottom

Where Is The Stock Market Headed? Let's Ask The World's Best Market Forecaster

Market Guidance: Past, Present And Future  (pre-newsletter, also see America's Financial Apocalypse)

The Case For Market Timing

A Lesson In Market Forecasting

Where Is The Stock Market Headed?

We Pin-Pointed The Past Two Market Tops And Bottoms

We Predicted The Market Correction AGAIN

Mike Stathis' Near-Perfect Market Forecasting Record 

Since The Market Lows, Only One Man Continues To Shine 

AVAIA Market Forecast And Recommendations SPOT ON, AGAIN

We Predicted The Market Selloff Yet Again

COMMODITIES, CURRENCIES & PRECIOUS METALS FORECASTER (track record links)

February 7, 2011

Excerpt from February 2011

August 5, 2013

August 19, 2013 Update

 

WTI & Brent Crude:*

August 5, 2013

August 19, 2013 Update

 

Henry Hub Natural Gas:*

August 5, 2013

August 19, 2013 Update

 

Gold & Silver:*

Mike Stathis Nails The Gold And Silver Trade Again (Oct - Nov 2015)

Guess Who Nailed The Most Recent Gold Trade AGAIN

Mike Stathis Nails The Latest Gold & Silver Trade (Jan-Feb 2015) Updated

Stathis Nails The Gold & Silver Selloff AGAIN - Jul - Sep 2014

March 25, 2013 Gold Analysis & Forecast

August 5, 2013

August 19, 2013 Update

The REAL Precious Metals Expert Shows You How it's Done

Stathis Nails the Gold & Silver Trade AGAIN

August 2012 - We Nailed The Gold Breakout

 

Mike Stathis Sets The Record Straight And Cleanses Your Mind

 

Other Videos Showing Stathis' Track Record

Proof That Mike Stathis Has The Leading Track Record On The Economic Collapse

Stathis Nails The Dec 2014 Market Selloff With Stunning Accuracy

The Media Has Banned The World's Leading Investment Forecaster

World's Best Market Forecaster Continues To Be Banned By The Media Crooks

Mike Stathis MUST Have A Crystal Ball. He Nailed The Market Correction AGAIN (excerpts only)

Mike Stathis Nails The Stock Market Correction AGAIN, Top To Bottom

Where Is The Stock Market Headed? Let's Ask The World's Best Market Forecaster

FACT: Mike Stathis is the leading expert on the economic collapse.

He has enabled his clients to profit BEFORE, DURING and AFTER the collapse.

No One in the world can match his track record from 2006 to current and he has backed that claim with a $100,000 guarantee which was expanded to a $1 million guarantee. 

The first thing you might want to do before continuing is to watch the video on this page. CLICK HERE.

View Mike Stathis' Track Record here, herehere, here, here, here and here.

The following list contains only a tiny portion of accurate macroeconomic forecasts and predictions made by Mike Stathis (verified by published research):*

  1. Collapse of Brazilian Economy (2011 - 2017, with bearish guidance for EWZ through early 2016)
  2. Collapse of Petrobras (2014)
  3. Collapse of Latin America (2013)
  4. Outperformance of India (late 2013-2015 and 2016-2017)
  5. Collapse of Greece 2009 (May)
  6. Deflation in EU for up to two decades (2011)
  7. Collapse of Commodities Market (2011)
  8. Collapse of Canadian dollar (2014)
  9. Collapse of Australian dollar (2014)
  10. Collapse of Brazilian real (2012-2015)
  11. Outperformance of the US dollar (2014 -2015)
  12. Collapse of gold and silver 2010-2011, with bearish long-term view
  13. ECB would begin a quantitative easing program (2012)
  14. Extremely accurate trading guidance for gold and silver (since inception of precious metals trading research, 2012-2017)
  15. Extremely accurate trading guidance for US dollar vs euro, yen, franc, real  (since inception of foreign currency trading research, 2012-2016)
  16. Estimated 85% accuracy rate for commodities (and gold & silver) trading guidance (2012-2016)
  17. Estimated at more than 95% accuracy in US stock market forecasting (timing and major moves top and bottom, 2008-2017)
  18. The complete up and down cycle of interest rate hikes and cuts in Brazil from 2012-2017
  19. Predicted Brazil would cut interest rates to a new record-low (2017)
  20. China would experience deflation as its economy weakened (2013, Global Economic Analysis, Brazil Part 3 Nov 15, 2013)
  21. China would cut interest rates to record lows (2014)
  22. China's stock market bubble (predicted Dec 2014 and Jan 2015)
  23. Japan's recession (2014)
  24. Warned that the emerging markets would collapse (2011-2012) due to capital outflows
  25. Warned that Brazil would lead the way in the EM collapse (2011-2012)
  26. Brazil's recession (2013-2016)
  27. EU's recessions (2011 and 2013)
  28. QE by the ECB (2013) and expansion of QE (2015)
  29. Collapse of China's stock bubble (June 2015)
  30. Collapse of interest rates in China to new record lows (2014)
  31. Downgrade of Brazilian Sovereign Debt to Junk
  32. First US interest rate hike after the financial crisis in December 2015 (predicted in 2014 and never changed the forecast)
  33. Predicted in 2015 Fed would raise interest rates by 25bp in December
  34. Predicted US interest rates would not be raised in June, July and probably not even September 2016 in contrast to Federal Reserve claims in early 2016 (March-June 2016); we leaned towards December as the first and only interest rate hike in 2016.
  35. Predicted 3 interest rate hikes in the US for 2017 well before the street or the Fed. 
  36. Warned that the long-term viability of the EU was at risk due to economic and societal issues (2009).
  37. Stated that at best, the EU would consist of a much different membership by 2020 due to defections and new additions (2010-2012), but long term would probably not succeed to the extent that the membership would eventually be so different than current that it would effectively be considered a failure.
  38. Predicted most of the debt downgrades in EU nations several months prior to the downgrades (2010-2012)
  39. Predicted that Japan would NOT face a sovereign debt crisis in the foreseeable future due to a variety of issues (2011)
  40. Predicted a long period of global deflation (2012).
  41. Predicted inflation in Brazil due to capital flows (2010).
  42. Predicted third rate hike in nearly a decade by the Fed on March 2017 (late February 2017). 

 

* these forecasts do not include the accuracy of market forecasts and securities guidance provided in the research.

Newsletter Performance Highlights: 

[1]   [2]   [3]   [4]   [5]   [6]   [7]   [8]   [9]   [10]   [11]   [12]   [13]   [14]  [15]  [16]  [17]  [18]  [19]  [20]  [21]  [22]  [23]  [24]  [25]  [26]
         

Video Presentation Highlights: 

[1]  [2]  [3]  [4]  [5]  [6]  [7]  [8]  [9]  [10]          

The links discussing the results of the video presentations above pertain to two video series published in April 2012 – “20 Stocks Over $100” and “60 Stocks Poised for HUGE Moves”

Note: several additional winners from these presentations that have not been included here for lack of time.

In the past, we also gave away some nice freebies as well:

[1]   [2]   [3]   [4]   [5]   [6]   [7]   [8]   [9]   [10]  [11]   [12]   [13]   [14]   [15]   [16]  [17]  [18]  [19]

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Article 19 of the United Nations' Universal Declaration of Human Rights: Everyone has the right to freedom of opinion and expression; this right includes freedom to hold opinions without interference and to seek, receive and impart information and ideas through any media and regardless of frontiers.

This publication (written, audio and video) represents the commentary and/or criticisms from Mike Stathis or other individuals affiliated with Mike Stathis or AVA Investment Analytics (referred to hereafter as the “author”). Therefore, the commentary and/or criticisms only serve as an opinion and therefore should not be taken to be factual representations, regardless of what might be stated in these commentaries/criticisms. There is always a possibility that the author has made one or more unintentional errors, misspoke, misinterpreted information, and/or excluded information which might have altered the commentary and/or criticisms. Hence, you are advised to conduct your own independent investigations so that you can form your own conclusions. We encourage the public to contact us if we have made any errors in statements or assumptions. We also encourage the public to contact us if we have left out relevant information which might alter our conclusions. We cannot promise a response, but we will consider all valid information.


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Opening Statement from July 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 3)

Opening Statement from July 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 3) First published on July 10, 2014 for subscribers to the Intelligent Investor The recommendations provided in the June issue add to...

Opening Statement from June 2014 Dividend Gems

Opening Statement from June 2014 Dividend Gems First published on June 17, 2014 for subscribers to Dividend Gems   Over the past several years we have discussed that the IMF has had a tendency...

Opening Statement from June 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 3)

Opening Statement from June 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 3) First published on June 4, 2014 for subscribers to the Intelligent Investor   Thus far our market forecast has been very accurate...

Opening Statement from June 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 1)

Opening Statement from June 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 1) First published on June 1, 2014 for subscribers to the Intelligent Investor   Last month we highlighted the downward revision in Q...

May 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 1) Opening Statement

Opening Statement from May 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 1) First published on May 5, 2014 for subscribers to the Intelligent Investor   We have been discussing the relative progress made in...

Mike Stathis Offers to Bet Peter Schiff Money that Hyperinflation Will Not Occur

We recently ran across this excerpt from an interview given by Mike in June 2012, discussing the Rape of Greece by the Jewish bankers. You sure aren't going to hear this from the Kosher media because...

Video: Educating a Libertarian Hack from Harvard

Normally, these libertarian goofballs lack sufficient knowledge to put forth an argument in support of their pro-fascist views. By now you probably know who the libertarian goofballs are...the Peter S...

Opening Statement from April 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 1)

Opening Statement from April 2014 Intelligent Investor (Part 1) First published on April 2, 2014 for subscribers to the Intelligent Investor   Over the past couple of months we have highlighted...

March 2014 Opening Statement Intelligent Investor Part 1

Originally Published on March 2, 2014 in Part 1 of the March 2014 Intelligent Investor It is always important to remember that salesmen always have reasons why something they sell or promote will g...

Mike Stathis Schools Peter Schiff on the Bankruptcy of Detroit

Today, Detroit's emergency manager announced a plan for the city to emerge out of bankruptcy. Throughout Detroit's solvency crisis, investment pundits and other hacks and lackeys have spread rumors an...

January 2014 Intelligent Investor Opening Statement (Part 2)

Originally Published on January 6, 2014 in the January 2014 Intelligent Investor   As we enter the New Year, US economic data is gaining momentum. Meanwhile, the confirmation of the Fed’......

January 2014 Intelligent Investor Opening Statement (Part 1)

Originally published on January 5, 2014 in the January 2014 Intelligent Investor   Although the European Union continues to gravitate towards a deflationary environment, there have been modest...

2013 Mid-Year Global Economic Analysis

You have probably heard what the clowns in the media have said about the economy.  Unfortunately, the media is littered with misguided salesmen like Peter Schiff, Mark Faber and other gold deal...

Global Economic Analysis: November 25, 2013 Overview

We have released a nice 10-minute video presentation summarizing the economic landscape since the 2008 financial crisis. Included in this overview is a consideration as to where the US economy...

Opening Statement from November Intelligent Investor (Part 3)

Last month we reminded readers about the earnings weakness we have been discussing since early in the year. Specifically, we felt that the second half of 2013 would be met with greater than expected w...

Global Economic Overview (Video Presentation)

We have just released a 2-part video presentation covering some select topics for discussion and analysis. Each video of this 2-part video series is approximately 40 minutes in length. This vide...

Opening Statement from November Intelligent Investor (Part 1)

Originally published on November 4, 2013 (November 2013 Intelligent Investor, Opening Statement Part 1) As previously discussed, the recent sell off in bonds has been due to the outlandish response...

Opening Statement from November Intelligent Investor (Part 3)

Over the past several months we have been warning about what we felt would be earnings weakness. Since June, S&P earnings growth for Q3 has now been slashed by more than xxx. While this may seem a...

October Intelligent Investor Opening Statement (Part 1)

In mid-September, the Federal Reserve decided not to begin tapering as we predicted. As you will recall, we have been warning readers since May that the US economy was weakening. This was in contrast...

Comments on the Debt Ceiling Debacle and Myths Regarding the Debt Crisis and Obamacare

Please enjoy the video below. Feel free to share it or upload it anywhere you wish.     Check Our Current Newsletter Promotions...

Comments from Mike Stathis Regarding the Fed's QE Decision (Video Presentation)

In this video, Mike discusses an aspect of the Fed’s recent decision to hold off on scaling back on its bond-buying program that you probably have not heard or read about.

August 2013 Global Economic Analysis (US)

Recently, the Fed stated that the economy had weakened somewhat relative to its previous assessment in late May.  We had already warned that the Fed would need to readdress investors once the...

August 2013 Global Economic Analysis (Overview)

The emerging markets have continued to weaken along with Europe, as the US economy and stock market gain more momentum. India was the first of the three major emerging markets we cover to show weak...

The Fed Blew It Like We Predicted

Last month we discussed the fact that we felt the Federal Reserve had expressed too much optimism with regards to the progression of the economic recovery in the US. In addition, we also discussed t...

Earnings Revisions and Guidance

Although we have seen some noteworthy earnings disappointments for Q2, this has been overshadowed by overall impressive results as well as upbeat estimates for Q3 and even Q4. In short, the US stock m...

What Are Earnings Telling Us About the Future Direction of the Stock Market?

Since we first published The Implosion of the Commodities Bubble we have added more charts and content, so check it out! Click Here.     We have been warning about what we felt would...

Stathis on Commodities, Gold and Treasury Yields

 July 2013 Intelligent Investor (Part 1) Opening Statement Originally Published on July 7, 2013   The correction in the commodities bubble continues, as overall global demand continues to...

Stathis Discusses the Fate of Gold and the Global Economy

As we have been discussing for several months, the global economy continues to weaken. Although the establish economists have been forecasting a stronger second half for 2013, we have been warning our...

Video Update on Market Forecast and Economics for Subscribers

We just published a brief update discussing how recent developments have altered our US and emerging markets forecast, along with trading guidance. This video presentation is available to subscriber...

2013 Mid-Year Global Economic Analysis (Video Presentation)

You have probably heard what the clowns in the media have said about the economy.  Unfortunately, the media is littered with misguided salesmen like Peter Schiff, Mark Faber and other gold deale...

April 2013 Intelligent Investor Part 1 Opening Statement

Recently I wrote an article discussing reasons for the retreat in gold pricing. As I have done countless times in the past, I pointed out the common myth held by gold bugs that gold protects against i...

Opening Statement from March 2013 Global Economic Analysis

In this 11-page overview we discuss the health of the U.S. economy, including comparisons of its real credit rating with the rest of the world. We also discuss corporate earnings, what to expect from...

VIDEO: Stathis Schools Peter Schiff in Economics

Hell, someone had to do it.

The Federal Budget and Taxation

Originally published in the August 2012 Intelligent Investor, Part 2 As detailed in many issues of this publication for some time now (as well as in America’s Financial Apocalypse), the U.S. go...

A Closer Look at the Wealth and Income Disparity

The large wealth and income inequality in the U.S. has continued to widen for nearly three decades. Over the past few years the disparity has become even larger. For instance, the top 1% of income ear...

A Closer Look at Poverty

Although poverty rates have been high in the United States for over a decade, they have increased appreciably since the economic crisis. As first detailed in America's Financial Apocalypse and discuss...

A Closer Look at the Federal Budget

Originally published in the September 2012 Intelligent Investor   Each year, Washington spends money to provide a variety of services. Ideally, Washington should only spend as much as it takes...

Opening Statement from the January 2013 Intelligent Investor (Part 1)

Fiscal cliff negotiations turned out to be a disaster. As you will recall, the fiscal cliff referred to automatic expiration of numerous tax breaks and expenditures. It was meant to serve as an econom...

Opening Statement from the January 2013 Intelligent Investor (Part 2)

As the Fed continues with quantitative easing, commodities continue to sell off as expected. This makes sense if we consider the primary force driving commodities right now is the global economic slow...

Opening Statement from the January 2013 Intelligent Investor (Part 3)

Last Friday the Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls grew by 155,000 jobs last month, slightly below November's level. Last Tuesday marked the commencement of Q4 earnings, with Alcoa meeti...

Washington's War against America's Middle Class

I have been discussing the adverse impact of U.S. trade policy on America’s working and middle-class for several years now. I began this discussion in America’s Financial Apocalypse. As m...

Opening Statement from the December 2012 Intelligent Investor (Part 1)

Little has changed since we released the last monthly publication. The global economy continues to weaken. Europe is sinking deeper into recession and even Germany is now most likely headed for a cont...

November Intelligent Investor Opening Statement (Part 1)

Based on the performance of several stocks considered to be very reliant on the outcome of the election, it appeared that Wall Street had determined at least a few weeks ago that President Obama would...

November Intelligent Investor Opening Statement (Part 2)

One cannot deny that the chart of the Dow looks impressive since March 2009. This is by no coincidence. A trend of record earnings have combined with record-low Treasury yields and the safe haven stat...

The Death of America

In this article, you are going to see what has happened to America, what the future holds and who is responsible for the nation's decline. See Also: Free Trade And The Suicide Of A Superpower (Part...

Secrets of the Geopolitical Chess Match

In this 14-page article, Mike details the inner workings of how the global game is played, explaining the macroeconomic forces that underlie the risks and merits of investing in the U.S. and other wor...

The Damaging Consequences of Free Trade

This article was originally written in 2012 as a followup to the material I first wrote about pertaining to US trade policy in my banned 2006 book, America's Financial Apocalypse. This book was not on...

August 2012 Intelligent Investor Opening Statement and Employment Picture

We have released a PDF of the Opening Statement as well as the Employment analysis from the August 2012 Intelligent Investor.

Fiscal Cliff Discussion from August 2012 Intelligent Investor

We have released a presentation on the Fiscal Cliff situation first published in the August 2012 Intelligent Investor.

Household Savings, Consumer Spending and Bankers

Economists, analysts, policy makers and of course central bankers are always paying attention to the household savings rate data for a variety of reasons. Regardless of the reason for their interest,...

Free Trade and the Suicide of a Superpower (Part 2)

This article was originally written in 2012 as a followup to the material I first wrote about pertaining to US trade policy in my banned 2006 book, America's Financial Apocalypse.  This book was...

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